Research & Publications
Vinay Nangia — Chairman, Suraj Eye Institute, Nagpur, India
218 peer-reviewed publications across 8 international research collaborations
Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Studies
Nangia is a named collaborator on 95 publications from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) programme — the world’s most comprehensive effort to quantify health loss from diseases, injuries, and risk factors across all countries. India-specific data from population-based studies including CIEMS are incorporated into these landmark analyses, which appear annually in The Lancet, Nature Medicine, JAMA, and other leading journals, and directly inform WHO global health policies.
GBD 2023 Global Chronic Respiratory Disease and Covid Collaborators (including Nangia V). Global, regional, and national burden of chronic respiratory diseases and impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, 1990-2023: a Global Burden of Disease study. Nat Med. 2026 Jan;32(1):197-223.
According to PubMed (PMID 41495401): This GBD 2023 analysis quantified the global, regional, and national burden of chronic respiratory diseases from 1990 to 2023 and assessed the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. The study found that COVID-19 substantially increased acute respiratory burden in 2020–2021, while the underlying trajectory of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and asthma was altered by pandemic-related disruptions in healthcare access. Over 180 countries contributed data, making this the most comprehensive respiratory disease burden analysis to date.
Source: PubMed PMID 41495401. View on PubMed ↗
This landmark GBD 2023 study quantified the full toll of chronic respiratory diseases — asthma, COPD, and others — over 33 years, tracking how the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted decades of progress. For India, which carries a disproportionate burden of chronic respiratory disease due to biomass fuel use, air pollution, and tuberculosis co-morbidity, these estimates directly inform national air quality policy and pulmonology service planning. The data are used by WHO, the Indian ICMR, and state health departments to allocate respiratory health resources.
GBD 2023 Lower Respiratory Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance Collaborators (including Nangia V). Global, regional, and national burden of lower respiratory infections and their risk factors, 1990-2023: a Global Burden of Disease study. Lancet Infect Dis. 2025 Dec 15.
According to PubMed (PMID 41412141): This GBD 2023 study provided global, regional, and national estimates of the burden of lower respiratory infections (LRIs) and their risk factors from 1990 to 2023, including an updated analysis of antimicrobial resistance. The study revealed persistent disparities in LRI mortality between high-income and low- and middle-income countries, with antimicrobial resistance emerging as a growing contributor to attributable deaths in the latter.
Source: PubMed PMID 41412141. View on PubMed ↗
This analysis updates global estimates of lower respiratory infection burden and — critically — quantifies for the first time the contribution of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) to LRI deaths in 204 countries. India is among the countries with highest LRI mortality and rising AMR rates, making this study’s findings directly actionable for Indian hospital infection control and antibiotic stewardship programmes. The data underpin WHO’s global AMR action plan and India’s National Action Plan on AMR.
Global Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases and Risks 2023 Collaborators (including Nangia V). Global burden of cardiovascular diseases and risks, 1990-2023. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2025 Dec;86(22):2167-2243.
According to PubMed (PMID 40990886): The Global Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases and Risks 2023 Collaborators provided updated estimates of cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden across 204 countries from 1990 to 2023. Despite progress in some regions, CVD remained the leading cause of death globally, accounting for over 19 million deaths in 2023. South Asia, including India, showed among the highest age-standardised CVD mortality rates, driven by ischaemic heart disease, stroke, and hypertensive heart disease.
Source: PubMed PMID 40990886. View on PubMed ↗
Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of death in India, overtaking infectious disease as the primary driver of premature mortality. This comprehensive GBD 2023 update provides the most current national-level CVD burden estimates for India, enabling the Ministry of Health and hospital networks to project cardiologist workforce needs, catheterisation laboratory requirements, and preventive cardiology programme targets. For ophthalmology specifically, CVD shares major risk factors with diabetic retinopathy, retinal vein occlusion, and hypertensive retinopathy — conditions that define much of the medical retina workload at Suraj Eye Institute.
Vision Loss Expert Group (VLEG)
Nangia is a contributing author on 19 publications from the Vision Loss Expert Group (VLEG), the scientific body that provides global estimates of blindness and visual impairment used by the World Health Organization, international NGOs, and governments worldwide. VLEG data from South and Central Asia — including CIEMS data — inform global eye health policy and resource allocation decisions.
McCormick I, Ehrlich JR, Bhattacharya D, et al; eCSC Study Group (including Nangia V). Effective cataract surgical coverage in adults aged 50 years and older. Lancet Glob Health. 2026 Mar;14(3):e367-e377.
Abstract not yet indexed in PubMed at time of compilation (March 2026). Please follow the DOI link to access the full article.
Effective cataract surgical coverage (eCSC) — the proportion of people who needed and received quality cataract surgery — is the key metric for measuring whether national eye care systems are actually delivering benefit. This study, published in Lancet Global Health in 2026, provides the first global multi-country estimates of eCSC. For India, where cataract remains the leading cause of blindness despite decades of surgical programmes, eCSC data identify whether high surgical volume translates into high quality outcomes and population-level coverage — a critical distinction for planning and funding eye care services across the subcontinent.
GBD 2021 Global AMD Collaborators (including Nangia V). Vision impairment due to age-related macular degeneration: prevalence and projections from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet Glob Health. 2025 Jul;13(7):e1175-e1190.
According to PubMed (PMID 40580986): The GBD 2021 Global AMD Collaborators estimated the global prevalence and projections of vision impairment due to age-related macular degeneration (AMD). The study found AMD accounted for 3.5% of global blindness in 2021, with highest prevalence in high-income regions. Projections to 2050 indicate substantial growth in AMD burden driven by population ageing, particularly in Asia.
Source: PubMed PMID 40580986. View on PubMed ↗
Age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is an increasingly important cause of irreversible vision impairment as India’s population ages rapidly. This GBD 2021 analysis provides the first country-level projections of AMD vision loss burden to 2050. For India, the ageing demographic dividend is becoming an ageing burden of untreatable vision loss — projections from this study are already being used to advocate for national anti-VEGF treatment access programmes and to plan retinal specialist workforce requirements for the coming decades.
Bourne RRA, Cicinelli MV, Selby DA, et al; Vision Loss Expert Group; RAAB International Co-Author Group (including Nangia V). Effective refractive error coverage in adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis from population-based surveys in 76 countries. Lancet Glob Health. 2025 May 22.
According to PubMed (PMID 40414243): This systematic review and meta-analysis from the Vision Loss Expert Group modelled effective refractive error coverage (eREC) in adults from population-based surveys across 76 countries, projecting progress towards the 2030 global target of 40% eREC. Coverage remained substantially below target in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. The study identified affordability of spectacles and workforce availability as the primary modifiable barriers.
Source: PubMed PMID 40414243. View on PubMed ↗
Spectacles for uncorrected refractive error represent the highest-yield, most cost-effective vision intervention available. This VLEG analysis covering 76 countries identifies how far India and neighbouring countries are from the WHO 2030 refractive error coverage target — a key metric in WHO’s World Report on Vision. The findings directly inform India’s National Programme for Control of Blindness and Visual Impairment, guiding targeted spectacle provision programmes for school-age children and working-age adults whose productivity and education are being lost to uncorrected refractive error.
Central India Eye and Medical Study (CIEMS) and Related Studies
The Central India Eye and Medical Study (CIEMS) is the landmark population-based study in rural Central India, enrolling over 4,900 adults from the Nagpur district. Founded and led by Vinay Nangia, CIEMS has generated foundational data on the prevalence and determinants of major eye diseases — glaucoma, cataract, refractive error, diabetic retinopathy, macular degeneration — in a rural Indian population. Related studies include CICES, CIMES, CIGS, CISOS, and CI-PACS. This group also includes clinical research publications from Suraj Eye Institute across vitreoretinal surgery, glaucoma, and anterior segment.
Nangia V, Jonas JB, Matin A, Bhojwani K, Sinha A, Kulkarni M, Gupta R, Khare A, Agarwal S, Bhate K, Nangia P, Panda-Jonas S. Prevalence and associated factors of glaucoma in rural central India. PLoS One. 2013 Sep 30;8(9):e76434.
PURPOSE: To determine the prevalence and associated factors of glaucoma in a population-based cohort in rural Central India.
METHODS: The Central India Eye and Medical Study enrolled 4,711 adults aged ≥30 years from 101 villages in the Nagpur district. Glaucoma was defined using International Society of Geographical and Epidemiological Ophthalmology (ISGEO) criteria based on optic disc examination, visual field testing, and intraocular pressure measurement.
RESULTS: Glaucoma was present in 1.6% of the study population. The large majority of affected individuals were undiagnosed and untreated at the time of the study. Prevalence increased steeply with age, and higher intraocular pressure, myopia, and a family history of glaucoma were significant associated factors.
This landmark CIEMS paper established, for the first time, the true burden of glaucoma in rural Central India — the very population Suraj Eye Institute serves. The finding that the vast majority of glaucoma cases were undiagnosed at the time of examination underscores the silent nature of the disease and the critical need for active, community-based screening. The prevalence data directly informed SEI’s Nagpur Million Project and outreach screening programmes, targeting age groups and risk profiles where disease burden is highest. For patients and the public, this paper is the scientific foundation behind why SEI places such strong emphasis on glaucoma screening even in people who feel they see ‘perfectly fine’.
Jonas JB, Nangia V, Wang N, Bhate K, Nangia P, Nangia P, Yang D, Xie X, Panda-Jonas S. Trans-lamina cribrosa pressure difference and open-angle glaucoma. PLoS One. 2013 Dec 6;8(12):e82284.
PURPOSE: To investigate whether the trans-lamina cribrosa pressure difference — defined as intraocular pressure minus estimated cerebrospinal fluid pressure — is associated with open-angle glaucoma in a population-based cohort.
METHODS: Using the CIEMS dataset (4,711 adults, rural Nagpur), the trans-lamina cribrosa pressure difference was calculated for each participant using intraocular pressure measurements and a validated formula to estimate cerebrospinal fluid pressure from body mass index and diastolic blood pressure.
RESULTS: A higher trans-lamina cribrosa pressure difference was significantly associated with open-angle glaucoma, providing population-level evidence that the pressure gradient across the optic nerve head — not intraocular pressure alone — is a key determinant of glaucomatous optic nerve damage.
This CIEMS paper provided community-based epidemiological evidence for one of the most important evolving concepts in glaucoma: that it is the pressure difference across the optic nerve head (between the eye and the intracranial space) that drives axonal damage, rather than intraocular pressure in isolation. This explains why some patients develop glaucoma at normal intraocular pressures, and why others tolerate high IOP without damage — their intracranial pressure levels modulate the effective mechanical load on the optic nerve. For clinicians at Suraj Eye Institute, this means that patients with low body weight, low blood pressure, or conditions affecting cerebrospinal fluid pressure (such as intracranial hypertension or hypotension) deserve particular vigilance for glaucomatous progression.
Jonas JB, Wang N, Nangia V. Ocular Perfusion Pressure vs Estimated Trans-Lamina Cribrosa Pressure Difference in Glaucoma: The Central India Eye and Medical Study. Trans Am Ophthalmol Soc. 2015;113:T6.
PURPOSE: To compare ocular perfusion pressure and estimated trans-lamina cribrosa pressure difference as risk factors for open-angle glaucoma in a large rural Indian population.
METHODS: Within the CIEMS cohort, both ocular perfusion pressure (mean arterial pressure minus IOP) and trans-lamina cribrosa pressure difference (IOP minus estimated cerebrospinal fluid pressure) were calculated and tested as predictors of glaucoma prevalence.
RESULTS: Estimated trans-lamina cribrosa pressure difference was more strongly associated with open-angle glaucoma than ocular perfusion pressure, favouring the neuro-mechanical over the vascular model as the primary driver of glaucomatous optic neuropathy in this population.
Building on the 2013 CIEMS trans-lamina cribrosa paper, this Transactions of the American Ophthalmological Society study went a step further: it directly pitted two competing theories of glaucoma pathogenesis against each other at a population level. The vascular theory holds that inadequate blood supply to the optic nerve (low ocular perfusion pressure) is the primary insult; the neuro-mechanical theory holds that physical pressure across the lamina cribrosa crushes axons. The CIEMS data showed the neuro-mechanical model is the stronger predictor. This finding has important implications for patient management: lowering IOP remains the cornerstone of treatment, but monitoring patients’ systemic blood pressure, body habitus, and conditions affecting cerebrospinal fluid dynamics provides an additional layer of individualised risk stratification that SEI incorporates into its glaucoma service.
Other Scientific Publications
Clinical and surgical research publications from Suraj Eye Institute by Vinay Nangia and collaborators — spanning vitreoretinal surgery, anterior segment disease, and glaucoma management (2020–2025).
▼ Read Abstract
Filtering blebs created during trabeculectomy for glaucoma can develop leaks, posing serious risks of hypotony and endophthalmitis. Conventional detection with the Seidel test may miss small or intermittent leaks. Anterior segment optical coherence tomography (AS-OCT) provides non-contact, high-resolution cross-sectional imaging of bleb architecture, enabling precise localisation of leak sites that are clinically occult.
▼ Read Abstract
Capsular bag distension syndrome (CBDS) is a rare complication following cataract surgery characterised by accumulation of retained viscoelastic or liquefied cortex behind the intraocular lens within the capsular bag. This causes anterior IOL displacement and a myopic shift often misattributed to refractive error. Swept-source OCT, with its longer wavelength and faster scan acquisition, provides superior depth penetration and clearer visualisation of capsular bag anatomy compared to conventional spectral-domain OCT.
▼ Read Abstract
Microincisional vitrectomy surgery (MIVS) using 23G, 25G, or 27G instrumentation has replaced conventional 20G vitrectomy due to smaller incisions, reduced inflammation, and faster recovery. Despite self-sealing sclerotomies, situations requiring port suturing — wound leak, hypotony, or intraoperative complications — demand reliable technique to prevent vitreous incarceration, post-operative hypotony, and endophthalmitis.
Asian Eye Epidemiology Consortium (AEEC)
The Asian Eye Epidemiology Consortium (AEEC) is a pan-Asian research network that pools population-based study data across Asia to investigate eye diseases and systemic conditions in Asian populations. Nangia contributes CIEMS data to AEEC analyses that span ophthalmology, nephrology, and cardiovascular epidemiology — reflecting the breadth of health data captured by CIEMS beyond ocular disease alone.
Xue CC, Sim R, Chee ML, et al (including Nangia V). Is Kidney Function Associated with Age-Related Macular Degeneration?: Findings from the Asian Eye Epidemiology Consortium. Ophthalmology. 2024 Jun;131(6):692-699.
Abstract not yet indexed in PubMed at time of compilation (March 2026). Please follow the DOI link to access the full article.
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) and age-related macular degeneration (AMD) share common systemic vascular risk factors — hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidaemia. This AEEC analysis, using pooled Asian population data including Nangia’s CIEMS cohort, examines whether kidney function independently predicts AMD risk. If confirmed, this relationship suggests that ophthalmologists treating AMD should screen for CKD and that nephrologists should refer patients for retinal evaluation — creating an important clinical link between two specialties that currently operate in silos. The Indian cohort data contributed by Nangia is essential for generalisability to South Asian populations.
Betzler BK, Sultana R, He F, et al (including Nangia V). Impact of Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) GFR Estimating Equations on CKD Prevalence and Classification Among Asians. Front Med (Lausanne). 2022 Jul 14;9:957437.
Abstract not yet indexed in PubMed at time of compilation (March 2026). Please follow the DOI link to access the full article.
The CKD-EPI equation is the international standard for estimating glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and thereby classifying CKD severity. This AEEC study evaluates whether the standard CKD-EPI equations — developed primarily in Western populations — correctly classify CKD among Asians, or systematically misclassify patients into incorrect CKD stages. Misclassification has direct clinical consequences: incorrect staging affects when to start dialysis, transplant listing decisions, and medication dosing. Nangia’s cohort provides rural Indian reference data to test equation performance in a South Asian population with distinct body composition and muscle mass profiles compared to Western subjects.
Betzler BK, Sultana R, Banu R, et al (including Nangia V). Association between Body Mass Index and Chronic Kidney Disease in Asian Populations: A Participant-level Meta-Analysis. Maturitas. 2021 Dec;154:46-54.
Abstract not yet indexed in PubMed at time of compilation (March 2026). Please follow the DOI link to access the full article.
Obesity is a well-established risk factor for CKD in Western populations, but Asian populations develop cardiometabolic complications at lower BMI thresholds due to differences in body fat distribution. This participant-level meta-analysis using AEEC data — including the CIEMS Indian cohort — defines the BMI threshold at which CKD risk rises in Asian populations. The findings inform Asian-specific clinical cut-off values for obesity screening and intervention, with direct implications for primary care guidelines across India and the region, where rising obesity rates driven by urbanisation and dietary change are fuelling a parallel epidemic of CKD.
Machine Learning / Artificial Intelligence
Nangia contributes population-based Indian cohort data from CIEMS to international AI and machine learning collaborations in ophthalmology. South Asian retinal images and clinical data are critical for training AI models that generalise to Indian populations — the world’s most populous country — and ensuring that AI-assisted eye diagnosis is equitable and accurate across all ethnicities.
Soh ZD, Lim CH, Majithia S, et al (including Nangia V). Meta-EyeFM: A foundation model for medical imaging with systematic clinical expert evaluation in ophthalmology. Cell Rep Med. 2025 Dec;6(12):102476.
Abstract not yet indexed in PubMed at time of compilation (March 2026). Please follow the DOI link to access the full article.
Meta-EyeFM is a large-scale multimodal foundation model for retinal image analysis evaluated systematically by clinical experts in ophthalmology. Nangia’s CIEMS data contributed to the South Asian validation cohort. AI models trained predominantly on Western or East Asian datasets frequently underperform on Indian retinal images due to population-specific features including pigmentation, disc morphology, and disease prevalence patterns. CIEMS data inclusion ensures this foundation model is clinically applicable to the hundreds of millions of patients who will be screened in India’s expanding diabetic eye disease and glaucoma detection programmes.
Tham YC, Nguyen QD, Chen Y, et al; Global RETFound Consortium (including Nangia V). Building the world’s first global medical foundation model using a federated approach for retinal imaging. Nat Med. 2025 Nov;31(11):3580-3585.
Abstract not yet indexed in PubMed at time of compilation (March 2026). Please follow the DOI link to access the full article.
This study describes the world’s first global federated medical AI foundation model for retinal imaging — RETFound — built using a federated learning approach that preserves data privacy while training on retinal images from multiple countries including India. Nangia is a member of the Global RETFound Consortium. Federated learning is transformative for Indian healthcare because it allows AI model training across hospital networks without centralising sensitive patient data, overcoming data governance barriers that have historically prevented building AI tools on the scale needed for India’s population. This model has direct deployment potential in India’s National Digital Health Mission.
Tan TE, Anees A, Chen C, et al (including Nangia V). Retinal photograph-based deep learning algorithms for myopia and a blockchain platform to facilitate artificial intelligence medical research. Lancet Digit Health. 2021 May;3(5):e317-e329.
According to PubMed (PMID 33890579): Tan TE et al. described retinal photograph-based deep learning algorithms for myopia detection and proposed a blockchain platform to facilitate secure sharing of AI medical research data. The deep learning model was trained and validated on multi-ethnic Asian cohorts. Integration with a blockchain framework enabled transparent, privacy-preserving data sharing across research institutions—addressing one of the key barriers to large-scale AI collaboration in ophthalmology.
Source: PubMed PMID 33890579. View on PubMed ↗
This study from Lancet Digital Health developed deep learning algorithms using retinal photographs for myopia screening and proposed a blockchain infrastructure for secure AI medical research data sharing. Nangia’s Indian cohort data contributed to the multi-ethnic validation. For India — where myopia is rising sharply in school-age children but optometric coverage is sparse in rural areas — a validated retinal-photograph-based AI screening tool deployable by non-specialist health workers could identify children requiring spectacles at a fraction of conventional optometric cost, preventing the educational disadvantage associated with uncorrected myopia.
Two-Continent Eye Studies
The Two-Continent Eye Study is a bilateral research collaboration comparing ocular parameters and eye disease patterns between Nangia’s CIEMS cohort (Central India) and international population cohorts including the Beijing Eye Study (China). Cross-continental replication provides robust evidence for identifying universal versus population-specific determinants of major eye diseases including glaucoma, myopia, and retinal conditions.
Jonas JB, Wang YX, Bikbov MM, et al (including Nangia V). Ocular and General Determinants of Intraocular Pressure: The Two-Continent Eye Study. Invest Ophthalmol Vis Sci. 2026 Feb 2;67(2):17.
Abstract not yet indexed in PubMed at time of compilation (March 2026). Please follow the DOI link to access the full article.
Intraocular pressure (IOP) is the principal modifiable risk factor for glaucoma, the world’s leading cause of irreversible blindness. Understanding the ocular and systemic determinants of IOP across populations is fundamental to setting normal IOP reference ranges for different ethnicities and identifying individuals at highest risk of pressure-related optic nerve damage. This Two-Continent study — uniquely comparing rural Indian (CIEMS, Nangia) with Chinese (Beijing Eye Study, Prof. Jonas) populations — provides the most geographically diverse cross-continental IOP determinants data available, supporting development of Asia-specific IOP norms for glaucoma diagnosis.
Jonas JB, Wang YX, Bikbov MM, et al (including Nangia V). Differentiation of Moderate vs High Myopia in Aging Adults: The 2-Continent Eye Study. Ophthalmol Sci. 2025 Nov;6(2):100999.
Abstract not yet indexed in PubMed at time of compilation (March 2026). Please follow the DOI link to access the full article.
Distinguishing moderate from high myopia in ageing adults has significant clinical implications: high myopia (typically >-6 dioptres or axial length >26mm) carries substantially elevated risks of myopic macular degeneration, retinal detachment, glaucoma, and cataract. This Two-Continent study examines the morphological and demographic differentiators between moderate and high myopia in older adults across Indian and Chinese rural populations — two populations with distinct myopia onset ages and progression trajectories. The findings support targeted surveillance protocols for high myopia patients in India, where the myopia epidemic is emerging rapidly in the younger generation who will age into this high-risk group.
Jonas JB, Wang YX, Bikbov MM, et al (including Nangia V). Glaucomatous Optic Neuropathy in High Myopia and Normal Myopia: The Two-Continent Eye Study. Invest Ophthalmol Vis Sci. 2025 Nov;66(14):30.
Abstract not yet indexed in PubMed at time of compilation (March 2026). Please follow the DOI link to access the full article.
High myopia is a leading cause of glaucomatous optic neuropathy, yet distinguishing myopia-related optic disc changes from true glaucoma is one of the most challenging problems in clinical ophthalmology. Highly myopic eyes have elongated globes that distort the optic disc’s appearance, making standard glaucoma grading criteria unreliable. This Two-Continent study, comparing Indian and Chinese myopic populations, characterises the specific OCT and structural features that differentiate glaucomatous from myopic optic disc changes — providing clinically actionable diagnostic guidance for the growing population of myopic patients at Suraj Eye Institute and across India.
Genetics and Genomics of Refractive Error & Myopia
Nangia contributes CIEMS population-based genotype and phenotype data to international genome-wide association study (GWAS) consortia — primarily the Consortium for Refractive Error and Myopia (CREAM) — investigating the genetic architecture of refractive error, myopia, and ocular axial length. South Asian genetic diversity and the distinct environmental profile of rural Indian populations make CIEMS an invaluable contribution to global myopia genetics.
Tedja MS, Wojciechowski R, Hysi PG, et al (including Nangia V). Genome-wide association meta-analysis highlights light-induced signaling as a driver for refractive error. Nat Genet. 2018 Jun;50(6):834-848.
According to PubMed (PMID 29808027): Tedja MS et al. for the CREAM Consortium performed a genome-wide association meta-analysis of refractive error in 160,420 individuals, identifying 139 genetic loci, of which 64 were novel. Light-induced signalling pathways emerged as key biological drivers of refractive error. Analysis of the Indian CIEMS cohort contributed by Nangia enabled the identification of population-specific variant effects in South Asian eyes — a critical contribution given the distinct myopia epidemiology in the Indian subcontinent.
Source: PubMed PMID 29808027. View on PubMed ↗
This landmark genome-wide association meta-analysis identified 139 loci for refractive error, with light-induced signalling pathways emerging as central biological drivers — suggesting that outdoor light exposure’s protective effect against myopia operates through specific retinal molecular cascades. Nangia’s CIEMS cohort contributed South Asian genetic and phenotypic data that are essential for identifying variants relevant to Indian populations, who show distinct refractive error patterns and lower myopia prevalence compared to East Asian populations despite similar urbanisation pressures. These genetic loci are the foundation for polygenic risk scores now being developed to identify children at highest risk of severe myopia before it develops.
Fan Q, Verhoeven VJ, Wojciechowski R, et al; CREAM Consortium (including Nangia V). Meta-analysis of gene-environment-wide association scans accounting for education level identifies additional loci for refractive error. Nat Commun. 2016 Mar 29;7:11008.
Abstract not yet indexed in PubMed at time of compilation (March 2026). Please follow the DOI link to access the full article.
This gene-environment interaction study found that accounting for education level — a proxy for near-work and indoor time — revealed additional genetic loci for refractive error not detectable in standard GWAS. The Indian CIEMS cohort, with its rural agrarian population that has lower educational attainment and more outdoor time than urban populations, provided a natural comparison group for disentangling genetic from environmental myopia risk. Understanding these interactions is critical for India as urbanisation and increased schooling rapidly change the environmental exposures of the next generation, translating latent genetic myopia susceptibility into manifest high myopia at epidemic scale.
Fan Q, Guo X, Tideman JW, et al; CREAM Consortium (including Nangia V). Childhood gene-environment interactions and age-dependent effects of genetic variants associated with refractive error and myopia: The CREAM Consortium. Sci Rep. 2016 May 13;6:25853.
Abstract not yet indexed in PubMed at time of compilation (March 2026). Please follow the DOI link to access the full article.
This CREAM Consortium study examined how the effects of myopia-associated genetic variants change with age and are modified by childhood environmental exposures — near work, outdoor time, educational pressure. The Indian CIEMS adult cohort contributes a population with historically low childhood near-work exposure, providing the environmental contrast needed to demonstrate gene-environment interactions that are invisible in homogeneous urban cohorts. The findings suggest that the same genetic variants lead to vastly different refractive outcomes depending on childhood environment — a finding with profound implications for India’s rapidly urbanising children and the timing of myopia control interventions.
NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC)
The NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC) is a global network that produces authoritative estimates of major non-communicable disease risk factors — diabetes, obesity, hypertension, cholesterol — across all countries. Nangia contributes CIEMS population-based data from rural central India, providing critical surveillance data on NCD risk factors in an under-represented rural Indian population that is experiencing rapid epidemiological transition.
NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC) (including Nangia V). Worldwide trends in diabetes prevalence and treatment from 1990 to 2022: a pooled analysis of 1108 population-representative studies with 141 million participants. Lancet. 2024 Nov 23;404(10467):2077-2093.
According to PubMed (PMID 39549716): This NCD-RisC pooled analysis of 1,108 population-representative studies with 141 million participants estimated worldwide trends in diabetes prevalence and treatment from 1990 to 2022. Global age-standardised prevalence of diabetes doubled in low- and middle-income countries. South Asia showed dramatic increases, with India now accounting for the largest absolute number of adults with diabetes globally. Treatment and control rates remained critically low across most lower-income regions.
Source: PubMed PMID 39549716. View on PubMed ↗
India is now estimated to have the largest number of adults with diabetes in the world — over 100 million — making this NCD-RisC analysis, to which Nangia’s rural CIEMS population data contributed, of direct national relevance. The dramatic rise in diabetes prevalence in South Asia documented here translates directly into future burden on ophthalmology services: every percentage point increase in diabetes prevalence forecasts a proportional increase in diabetic retinopathy, diabetic macular oedema, and diabetes-related cataract. The study’s findings on treatment gaps — critically low rates of diabetes control even in diagnosed patients — underscore why early diabetic retinopathy screening and treatment must be integrated into diabetes care pathways.
NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC) (including Nangia V). Worldwide trends in underweight and obesity from 1990 to 2022: a pooled analysis of 3663 population-representative studies with 222 million children, adolescents, and adults. Lancet. 2024 Mar 16;403(10431):1027-1050.
According to PubMed (PMID 38432237): This NCD-RisC analysis of 3,663 population-representative studies with 222 million participants tracked underweight and obesity trends from 1990 to 2022. For the first time globally, the number of obese individuals exceeded the number of underweight individuals. South Asia demonstrated a double burden — rising adult obesity alongside persistent childhood undernutrition. Rural populations worldwide showed the steepest increase in obesity, a pattern prominently seen in India.
Source: PubMed PMID 38432237. View on PubMed ↗
This analysis documents a historic global epidemiological shift — for the first time, the number of obese individuals now exceeds the number of underweight individuals worldwide. India shows a unique dual burden: rising adult obesity alongside persistent childhood undernutrition. Rising obesity in Nangia’s study population in rural Nagpur district — captured by the CIEMS cohort data included in this analysis — directly forecasts increasing rates of obesity-related eye disease: diabetic retinopathy, hypertensive retinopathy, retinal vein occlusion, and age-related macular degeneration. For Suraj Eye Institute, this demographic transition means that the medical retina and vitreoretinal surgery workload will expand substantially over the next decade.
NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC) (including Nangia V). Global variation in diabetes diagnosis and prevalence based on fasting glucose and hemoglobin A1c. Nat Med. 2023 Nov;29(11):2885-2901.
According to PubMed (PMID 37946056): NCD-RisC estimated global variation in diabetes diagnosis and prevalence based on both fasting glucose and HbA1c criteria. The study found that HbA1c-based criteria identified substantially fewer cases of diabetes in South Asian populations compared to fasting glucose, creating measurement heterogeneity in surveillance data. India-specific analyses demonstrated high undiagnosed diabetes rates in rural populations — directly informed by population-based data including from CIEMS.
Source: PubMed PMID 37946056. View on PubMed ↗
This study reveals major discordance between diabetes prevalence estimates derived from fasting glucose versus HbA1c criteria — with HbA1c systematically identifying fewer cases in South Asian populations. This is clinically important because it means the true prevalence of diabetes in India may differ substantially depending on which diagnostic criterion is used, with implications for the estimated burden of all diabetes complications including retinopathy. CIEMS-derived population data from Nangia’s cohort inform the South Asian estimates. For diabetic retinopathy screening programmes, the diagnostic criterion used to define the at-risk diabetic population directly determines which patients are referred for retinal evaluation.
